Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.012011 0.014691 0.018112 0.022920 0.029715 0.039338 0.054742
2024-10-13 0.008398 0.011133 0.015079 0.021525 0.032580 0.052666 0.098208
2024-10-20 0.006786 0.009465 0.013648 0.021239 0.036322 0.070246 0.180343
2024-10-27 0.006041 0.008804 0.013435 0.022709 0.044091 0.105367 0.435863
2024-11-03 0.005547 0.008395 0.013474 0.024614 0.054396 0.166718 1.515704
2024-11-10 0.005166 0.008079 0.013568 0.026667 0.067281 0.277994 13.826225
2024-11-17 0.004668 0.007454 0.012896 0.026641 0.074045 0.394741 9675.385373
2024-11-24 0.004227 0.006861 0.012153 0.026147 0.078976 0.541164 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003743 0.006119 0.010954 0.024010 0.075442 0.589767 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003389 0.005587 0.010127 0.022698 0.074865 0.697134 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003162 0.005279 0.009747 0.022586 0.080324 1.015817 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003049 0.005181 0.009825 0.023928 0.095799 2.201736 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002850 0.004910 0.009512 0.024128 0.107112 4.974446 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002591 0.004490 0.008776 0.022656 0.105369 7.357012 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002417 0.004231 0.008398 0.022351 0.112962 20.987495 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002341 0.004169 0.008506 0.023931 0.142264 195671.675973 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002284 0.004141 0.008695 0.025982 0.187465 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002230 0.004113 0.008881 0.028200 0.252555 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002117 0.003936 0.008613 0.028172 0.283144 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002002 0.003743 0.008269 0.027638 0.303290 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001853 0.003459 0.007623 0.025331 0.271410 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001738 0.003247 0.007169 0.023919 0.260596 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001663 0.003127 0.006972 0.023798 0.285616 NaN NaN